Preview: automated baseline. Built automatically from federal data and not yet checked by hand. Check every figure against your own records before you use it in a plan.

Fulton County, AR

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County area 05049. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-28.

Download the packet

PDF: PDF, for printing and reading. Word: Word document, tables ready to paste into a plan. Excel: Excel workbook, one sheet per section, full tables. JSON: Packet data (JSON), for analysts. Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Expired on 2014-12-15

Plan
Fulton County (FEMA plan 51029)
Approved
2009-12-15
Expires
2014-12-15
As of
2026-09-28
Days
4,305 days since expiry
Update underway
none in FEMA's plan tracker

Generally not eligible for FEMA mitigation project grants (HMGP, FMA) until a new plan is approved, barring a 44 CFR 201.6(a)(3) exception. Planning grants are not affected.

Map group: Lapsed, not yet adopted or never covered.

What changed since your last plan (approved 2009-12-15)

New federal declarations
DR-1975-AR, DR-4160-AR, DR-4174-AR, DR-4318-AR, EM-3461-AR (non-natural, not counted), DR-4518-AR (non-natural, not counted), EM-3541-AR, DR-4788-AR, EM-3627-AR, DR-4873-AR, EM-3636-AR (11 declaration rows; 8 counted incidents)
Storm Events records since approval
182 (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now
FMA RL 2, SRL 4 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 11
Repeat-flood change
First release: no prior release to compare.

Plan status for every jurisdiction in the plan

8 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock. Notes include other approved plans FEMA lists for the same jurisdiction.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Fulton CountyCountyExpired on 2014-12-15Fulton County (FEMA plan 51029)2009-12-152014-12-15-4,305
Horseshoe Bend cityCityExpired on 2026-09-14Izard County (FEMA plan 105232)2021-09-152026-09-14-14
Mammoth Spring cityCityExpired on 2014-12-15Fulton County (FEMA plan 51029)2009-12-152014-12-15-4,305FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Salem cityCityApproved, expires 2030-07-24Salem (FEMA plan 108495)2025-07-252030-07-241,395
Viola townTownExpired on 2014-12-15Fulton County (FEMA plan 51029)2009-12-152014-12-15-4,305
Mammoth Spring SchoolsSchool/School DistrictNo approved plan on record. Approvable pending adoption, not yet eligiblenonenonenoneFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Salem School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2030-07-24Salem (FEMA plan 108495)2025-07-252030-07-241,395
Name not given in FEMA data (ID NM06_51032)School/School DistrictExpired on 2014-12-15Fulton County (FEMA plan 51029)2009-12-152014-12-15-4,305

FEMA plan data lists 1 school district row with no name (FEMA IDs only) and 2 named school districts. They may be the same districts filed under two ID schemes on different plans; check before reading a named district's 'No approved plan on record' as never covered.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order. Each heading names the review item its tables support; whether the item is satisfied is decided by the plan and its reviewers. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports B1-a Hazards

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here; omission evidence is shown only where NRI rates a hazard "Not Applicable", no federal declaration names it and Storm Events has no record of it since 1996.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Inland Flooding, Ice Storm and Tornado.

Also check locally (not covered by NRI): dam failure (incl. upstream dams), levee failure, flash flood as its own subtype, ice jams, debris flows, erosion (riverine and coastal), land subsidence and sinkholes and expansive soils.

Check your state hazard mitigation plan's hazard list for this county; explain any hazard you drop.

Supports B1-b Location

  • Avalanche, Coastal Flooding, Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado, Tsunami, Volcanic Activity and Wildfire: Census tract rating counts from the National Risk Index tract table (see B1-f). Tract maps and place names are not in this packet.
  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: Affects the whole planning area; national data do not distinguish locations within the county. Confirm locally.
  • Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports B1-c Extent

Storm Events records for 13 of 20 hazard groups, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say local data required.

  • Hail: 4.25 in hail, 2022-04-15; same size also recorded on 2006-04-02
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2016-05-09
  • Tornado: F4 tornado, 1982-12-24, 15 mi path length (records before 1996 may include the whole path; rating and listing come from the county where the tornado began), 440 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1982 dollars), 5 direct injuries

Supports B1-d Previous occurrences

28 federal declaration rows for this area (23 counted incidents), each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2009-12-15): EM-3636-AR, DR-4873-AR, EM-3627-AR, DR-4788-AR, EM-3541-AR, DR-4518-AR, EM-3461-AR, DR-4318-AR, DR-4174-AR, DR-4160-AR and DR-1975-AR.

6 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no recorded events are stated as such (5 of 18).

Storm Events history: 420 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports B1-e Probability

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Landslide, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather
  • Likely: Drought, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Inland Flooding and Tornado
  • Possible: Hurricane and Wildfire

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports B1-f Variation across the planning area

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 18 hazards (4 tracts; rated tracts only).

5 member jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starter, confirm locally).

Supports B2-a, B2-b Assets and impacts

Local data required

County-level starter. The plan must describe impacts for each participant and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2009-12-15: $6,159,000 in county-coded records (98 records); $1,827,000 reported for the zone (84 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Checklist of what to gather locally: Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard; A problem statement per participant per hazard; Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a); Future assets.

Supports B2-a Context

Population 12,050; building value $2,112,089,013 and agriculture value $37,275,111 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Relatively Low; social vulnerability Very High; community resilience Very Low.

Supports B2-c Repetitive loss

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 2 repetitive loss, 4 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 11 and 4.

Mitigated 1; insured 2; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy and for each member community are in the packet.

Releases

Monthly releases are planned (not yet running); files for a release never change. Earlier releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Fulton County, AR: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-28; County area 05049). Preview: automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ar/05049/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built, its sources and its limits