Hazard Plain
Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Guthrie County, IA

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 19077. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2029-10-13. Plan: Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052), approved 2024-10-14.

Since the plan was approved on 2024-10-14: no new federal declaration.

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 17 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($4,170,849 a year), Drought ($4,021,419) and Tornado ($3,250,109).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 1.

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Approved, expires 2029-10-13

Plan:
Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)
Approved:
2024-10-14
Days to expiry:
1,109

What changed since your last plan (approved 2024-10-14)

New federal declarations:
none
Storm Events records since approval:
17 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 1
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

16 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock. Notes include other approved plans FEMA lists for the same jurisdiction.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Guthrie CountyCountyApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Adair cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Bagley cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Bayard cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2025-05-29
Casey cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Coon Rapids cityCityExpired on 2025-09-10Crawford, Carroll, Greene and Sac Counties Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106802)2020-09-102025-09-10-385
Guthrie Center cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Jamaica cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Menlo cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Panora cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Stuart cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Yale cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Adair-Casey Community School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
Coon Rapids-Bayard Community School DistrictSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2025-09-10Crawford, Carroll, Greene and Sac Counties Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 106802)2020-09-102025-09-10-385
Panorama Community School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15
West Central Valley Community School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2029-10-13Adair-Guthrie Counties Multihazard Mitigation Plan (FEMA plan 110052)2024-10-142029-10-131,109Also approved under plan 108726 (Dallas County, expires 2028-01-26). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last. this jurisdiction approved 2024-10-15

Plan 110052 covers 7 other participants, named in the Excel file.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Inland Flooding, Drought and Tornado.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: Affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado and Wildfire: Varies within the county: the census tracts with the highest National Risk Index rating for this hazard are listed. FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool (RAPT) maps the National Risk Index for every tract (https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool).
  • Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 13 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

  • Hail: 4.5 in hail, 1999-07-02
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 80 kt (92 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2008-07-21
  • Tornado: F4 tornado, 1995-05-27, 30 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 250 yd wide, $2,000,000 property; $22,000 crops (1995 dollars), 1 direct injury

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 17 declarations covering 13 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2024-10-14): none.

5 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (7 of 18).

Storm Events history: 659 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Lightning and Strong Wind
  • Likely: Cold Wave, Drought, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Inland Flooding, Landslide, Tornado and Winter Weather
  • Possible: Hurricane and Wildfire

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 14 of the 18 hazards (3 tracts; rated tracts only).

12 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2024-10-14: $55,000 in county-coded records (10 records); $0 reported for the zone (7 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 10,623; building value $4,415,059,701 and agriculture value $292,392,190 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Very Low; social vulnerability Very Low; community resilience Very High.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 0 repetitive loss, 0 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 1 and 0.

Mitigated 0; insured 0; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change. Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Guthrie County, IA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 19077). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ia/19077/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built: methods and sources