Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Union County, IA

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 19175. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Plan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligible. Plan: Union County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here, approved 2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here.

Update: FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption.

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Cold Wave ($3,812,608 a year), Inland Flooding ($2,752,842) and Drought ($2,141,733).

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Plan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligible

Plan:
Union County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here
Approved:
2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here
Expires:
2030-04-08 once adopted
Update underway:
FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption

Not yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

What changed since your last plan

Plan 110159 was approved by FEMA on 2025-04-09 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

11 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock. Notes include other approved plans FEMA lists for the same jurisdiction.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Union CountyCountyPlan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleUnion County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-04-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Afton cityCityApproved, expires 2030-04-08Union County (FEMA plan 110159)2025-04-092030-04-081,286this jurisdiction approved 2025-02-26
Arispe cityCityPlan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleUnion County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-04-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Cromwell cityCityPlan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleUnion County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-04-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Lorimor cityCityApproved, expires 2030-04-08Union County (FEMA plan 110159)2025-04-092030-04-081,286this jurisdiction approved 2025-02-26
Shannon City cityCityPlan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleUnion County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-04-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Thayer cityCityPlan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleUnion County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-04-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Creston Community School DistrictSchool/School DistrictPlan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleUnion County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-04-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
East Union Community School DistrictSchool/School DistrictPlan 110159 approved 2025-04-09, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleUnion County (FEMA plan 110159), pending adoption here2025-04-09 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2030-04-08 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Lenox Community School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-12-26Taylor County (FEMA plan 108342)2022-12-272027-12-26452this jurisdiction approved 2022-12-21
Southwestern Community CollegeCollege/UniversityApproved, expires 2030-04-08Union County (FEMA plan 110159)2025-04-092030-04-081,286this jurisdiction approved 2026-09-09

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Cold Wave, Inland Flooding and Drought.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado and Wildfire vary within the county; the packet lists the highest-rated census tracts for each.
  • Inland Flooding: the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 12 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

Worst recorded tornado, hail and thunderstorm wind (the three event types on record since the 1950s; the packet has every group):

  • Hail: 3 in hail, 2021-06-18; same size also recorded on 1970-04-29
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 89 kt (102 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2009-08-09
  • Tornado: F4 tornado, 1995-05-27, 55 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 500 yd wide, $3,000,000 property; $80,000 crops (1995 dollars), 2 direct injuries

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 21 declarations covering 18 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

Plan 110159 was approved by FEMA on 2025-04-09 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

5 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (8 of 18).

Storm Events history: 498 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Lightning and Strong Wind
  • Likely: Cold Wave, Drought, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Inland Flooding, Landslide, Tornado and Winter Weather
  • Unlikely: Hurricane

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 14 of the 18 hazards (4 tracts; rated tracts only).

7 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Plan 110159 was approved by FEMA on 2025-04-09 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 12,125; building value $3,952,665,437 and agriculture value $166,422,772 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Relatively Low; social vulnerability Relatively High; community resilience Relatively High.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 0 repetitive loss, 0 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 2 and 0.

Mitigated 0; insured 0; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change. Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Union County, IA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 19175). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ia/19175/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built: methods and sources