Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Douglas County, NE

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 31055. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Expired on 2026-06-14. Plan: Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490), approved 2021-06-14.

Since the plan was approved on 2021-06-14: 7 new hazard declarations (7 incidents) and 289 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($88,124,492 a year), Tornado ($63,943,253) and Hail ($24,432,164).

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Expired on 2026-06-14

Plan:
Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)
Approved:
2021-06-14
Days since expiry:
108
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

Until a new plan is approved, FEMA mitigation project grants (HMGP, FMA) need a FEMA exception (44 CFR 201.6(a)(3)).

What changed since your last plan (approved 2021-06-14)

New federal declarations:
7 new hazard declarations (7 incidents): DR-4616-NE (Severe Storms and Straight-Line Winds), DR-4778-NE (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes), DR-4808-NE (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), DR-4822-NE (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), DR-4838-NE (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), DR-4868-NE (Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds), DR-4896-NE (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
289 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 6, SRL 5 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 49
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

14 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock. Notes include other approved plans FEMA lists for the same jurisdiction.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryNotes
Douglas CountyCountyExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2022-03-01
Bennington cityCityExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2021-07-26
Omaha cityCityExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2021-09-09
Ralston cityCityExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2022-04-25
Valley cityCityExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2021-12-08
Waterloo villageVillageExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2022-01-12
Arlington Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2021-12-08
Douglas County West Community SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2022-07-05
Fort Calhoun Community SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2022-01-12
Gretna Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2021-12-08
Millard Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108
Omaha Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108
Ralston Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2021-07-16
Westside Community SchoolsSchool/School DistrictExpired on 2026-06-14Papio-Missouri River NRD (FEMA plan 107490)2021-06-142026-06-14-108this jurisdiction approved 2022-01-31

Plan 107490 lists 29 other participants, named in the Excel file.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Inland Flooding, Tornado and Hail.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado and Wildfire vary within the county; the packet lists the highest-rated census tracts for each.
  • Inland Flooding: the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 12 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

Worst recorded tornado, hail and thunderstorm wind (the three event types on record since the 1950s; the packet has every group):

  • Hail: 4.5 in hail, 1989-04-27
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 100 kt (115 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2008-06-27
  • Tornado: F4 tornado, 1975-05-06, 6.9 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 267 yd wide, $250,000,000 property; crops not recorded (1975 dollars), 3 direct deaths, 118 direct injuries

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 29 declarations covering 25 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2021-06-14): DR-4896-NE, DR-4868-NE, DR-4838-NE, DR-4822-NE, DR-4808-NE, DR-4778-NE and DR-4616-NE.

5 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (7 of 18).

Storm Events history: 1,259 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather
  • Likely: Cold Wave, Drought, Heat Wave, Inland Flooding, Landslide and Tornado
  • Possible: Ice Storm and Wildfire
  • Unlikely: Hurricane

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 14 of the 18 hazards (163 tracts; rated tracts only).

6 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2021-06-14: $39,520,000 in county-coded records (251 records); $0 reported for the zone (38 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 584,427; building value $115,145,091,292 and agriculture value $71,515,739 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Relatively High; social vulnerability Relatively Low; community resilience Relatively High.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 6 repetitive loss, 5 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 47 and 4.

Mitigated 0; insured 11; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change. Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Douglas County, NE: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 31055). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ne/31055/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built: methods and sources