Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Otoe County, NE

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 31131. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Plan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligible. Plan: Nemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here, approved 2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here.

Update: FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption.

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($4,159,408 a year), Tornado ($2,052,007) and Hail ($1,349,840).

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Plan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligible

Plan:
Nemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here
Approved:
2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here
Expires:
2031-05-03 once adopted
Update underway:
FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoption

Not yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

Not yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

What changed since your last plan

Plan 111395 was approved by FEMA on 2026-05-04 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

18 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock. Notes include other approved plans FEMA lists for the same jurisdiction.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Otoe CountyCountyPlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Burr villageVillagePlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Douglas villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-05-03Nemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395)2026-05-042031-05-031,676this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-20
Dunbar villageVillagePlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Lorton villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-05-03Nemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395)2026-05-042031-05-031,676
Nebraska City cityCityApproved, expires 2031-05-03Nemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395)2026-05-042031-05-031,676this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-20
Otoe villageVillageApproved, expires 2031-05-03Nemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395)2026-05-042031-05-031,676
Palmyra villageVillagePlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Syracuse cityCityApproved, expires 2031-05-03Nemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395)2026-05-042031-05-031,676this jurisdiction approved 2026-05-20
Talmage villageVillagePlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Unadilla villageVillagePlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Conestoga Public SchoolsSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2030-06-01Lower Platte South Natural Resources (FEMA plan 110567)2025-06-022030-06-011,340this jurisdiction approved 2025-12-17
Norris School District 160School/School DistrictApproved, expires 2030-06-01Lower Platte South Natural Resources (FEMA plan 110567)2025-06-022030-06-011,340this jurisdiction approved 2025-12-01
Palmyra District OR-1School/School DistrictPlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Auburn Volunteer Fire DeptFire/EMS DistrictPlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Syracuse Rural Fire DistrictFire/EMS DistrictPlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Talmaga Fire DistrictFire/EMS DistrictPlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Unadilla Rural Fire DistrictFire/EMS DistrictPlan 111395 approved 2026-05-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleNemaha NRD Update (FEMA plan 111395), pending adoption here2026-05-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2031-05-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Inland Flooding, Tornado and Hail.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: Affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado and Wildfire: Varies within the county: the census tracts with the highest National Risk Index rating for this hazard are listed. FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool (RAPT) maps the National Risk Index for every tract (https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool).
  • Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 11 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

  • Hail: 3.5 in hail, 1989-04-27
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 78 kt (90 mph) measured gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2025-08-10
  • Tornado: F3 tornado, 1991-04-26, 14 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 350 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1991 dollars), 2 direct injuries

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 23 declarations covering 19 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

Plan 111395 was approved by FEMA on 2026-05-04 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

5 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (7 of 18).

Storm Events history: 638 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather
  • Likely: Cold Wave, Drought, Heat Wave, Inland Flooding, Landslide and Tornado
  • Possible: Ice Storm
  • Unlikely: Hurricane

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 14 of the 18 hazards (5 tracts; rated tracts only).

11 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Plan 111395 was approved by FEMA on 2026-05-04 but is not yet adopted here, so no since-plan counts are given.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 15,885; building value $4,527,850,883 and agriculture value $219,512,373 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Very Low; social vulnerability Very Low; community resilience Very High.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 0 repetitive loss, 0 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 3 and 0.

Mitigated 0; insured 0; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change. Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Otoe County, NE: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 31131). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ne/31131/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built: methods and sources