Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

DeKalb County, TN

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 47041. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-02-03. Plan: DeKalb County (FEMA plan 107577), approved 2022-02-04.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-02-04: 3 new hazard declarations (2 incidents) and 38 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($3,571,548 a year), Tornado ($1,059,625) and Cold Wave ($899,349).

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Approved, expires 2027-02-03

Plan:
DeKalb County (FEMA plan 107577)
Approved:
2022-02-04
Days to expiry:
126
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-02-04)

New federal declarations:
3 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): EM-3625-TN (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), EM-3635-TN (Severe Winter Storm), DR-4898-TN (Severe Winter Storm)
Storm Events records since approval:
38 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 1, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 3
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

5 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock. Notes include other approved plans FEMA lists for the same jurisdiction.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
DeKalb County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2027-02-03DeKalb County (FEMA plan 107577)2022-02-042027-02-03126
Alexandria townTownApproved, expires 2027-02-03DeKalb County (FEMA plan 107577)2022-02-042027-02-03126
Dowelltown townTownApproved, expires 2027-02-03DeKalb County (FEMA plan 107577)2022-02-042027-02-03126
Smithville cityTownApproved, expires 2027-02-03DeKalb County (FEMA plan 107577)2022-02-042027-02-03126
DeKalb County School DistrictSchool/School DistrictPlan 107577 approved 2022-02-04, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleDeKalb County (FEMA plan 107577), pending adoption here2022-02-04 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2027-02-03 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Inland Flooding, Tornado and Cold Wave.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado and Wildfire vary within the county; the packet lists the highest-rated census tracts for each.
  • Inland Flooding: the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 11 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

Worst recorded tornado, hail and thunderstorm wind (the three event types on record since the 1950s; the packet has every group):

  • Hail: 1.75 in hail, 2018-07-21; same size also recorded on 1978-09-10, 1984-05-06, 1984-05-07, 1995-05-18, 1998-06-09, 2003-05-05, 2006-06-30, 2014-06-10
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 82 kt (94 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2009-06-11
  • Tornado: F3 tornado, 1974-04-03, 9.4 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 100 yd wide, $250,000 property; crops not recorded (1974 dollars), 20 direct injuries

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 20 declarations covering 16 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2022-02-04): DR-4898-TN, EM-3635-TN and EM-3625-TN.

1 statewide declaration listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (7 of 18).

Storm Events history: 316 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Lightning and Strong Wind
  • Likely: Drought, Inland Flooding, Landslide, Tornado and Winter Weather
  • Possible: Cold Wave, Heat Wave, Hurricane and Ice Storm

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 14 of the 18 hazards (5 tracts; rated tracts only).

4 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2022-02-04: $416,000 in county-coded records (15 records); $18,000 reported for the zone (23 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 20,068; building value $3,673,493,109 and agriculture value $33,434,460 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Very Low; social vulnerability Relatively Moderate; community resilience Relatively Low.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 1 repetitive loss, 0 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 3 and 0.

Mitigated 0; insured 2; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change. Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). DeKalb County, TN: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 47041). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/tn/47041/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built: methods and sources